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PEARL: Unbiased Percentile Estimation via Contrastive Learning for Industrial-Scale Livestream Recommendation

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Fidelity: core mechanism. Paper results, local public-data measurements, and omissions are separate.

Paper information

Field Details
Paper arXiv 2605.21752
Organization TikTok
First public release 2026-05-20 (arXiv v1)
Authors' code The paper did not provide official or author code when checked on 2026-08-24.
Adapter / method pearl-percentile
Local reproduction code src/auto_research/reproductions/pearl_percentile/

Original paper

Motivation and method

Estimate behavior percentiles from multiple comparisons rather than one biased label. Value weighting, bootstrapping, and long-term co-training extend the method to multiple ranking objectives.

flowchart LR
 A["Multiple-sample comparisons"] --> B["Unbiased percentile"] --> C["Multi-objective ranking"]

Key figure from the paper

PEARL: Unbiased Percentile Estimation via Contrastive Learning for Industrial-Scale Livestream Recommendation — Figure 1

Figure 1: Core architecture, modules, and connections. From the original paper; copyright remains with the authors.

Core equations

\[ \hat p_i=\frac1N\sum_{j=1}^{N}\mathbf1[y_i>y_j],\quad Var(\hat p)=p(1-p)/N \]

Paper results

The main online result is Watch Duration +2.10% in a week-long A/B test. Offline tables and online metrics use private or paper-specific protocols. The private paper protocol is not directly comparable with local MovieLens measurements.

Local reproduction

Local comparison: The baseline is the shared transition + content scorer. The treatment adds only pearl-percentile on the same users, items, full-catalog candidates, and seed.

MovieLens-100K, 220 users and 360 items, seed 42: NDCG@10 0.0540 → 0.0483 (-10.65%); Hit@10 0.1091 → 0.1000. Validation selects mixture weights only; the test set is not used for tuning.

auto-research reproduce --paper pearl-percentile --dataset-dir data --seed 42

See the fixed metrics.

Reproduction boundaries

The core mechanism runs on MovieLens-100K with the same split, fixed full-catalog candidates, and seed. Private features, the production foundation model, and online traffic are unavailable. The implementation has independent model state and scoring, rather than mapping a paper name to a shared weighted formula. Omitted parts are in the adapter's omitted_core_components. Local changes and paper A/B gains are reported separately.