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Challenges and Solutions for Bandits in the Wild: Warm-Started Mixture Bandits for Cross-Cohort Slate Recommendation

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L1 core-mechanism diagnostic. Implements fixed-strength mixture priors, Thompson slates, and posterior updates, not historical matrix factorization or the 25-day deployment.

Paper information

Field Details
Paper arXiv 2609.37800
Organization DFKI / RPTU Kaiserslautern-Landau
First public release 2026-09-29 (arXiv v1)
Authors' code Official public code
Adapter cohortmix-ts
Local reproduction code src/auto_research/reproductions/cohortmix_ts/

Original paper

Motivation and method

Learn user groups and item arms from historical cohorts. Use metadata to build a fixed-strength mixture Beta prior for a new user. At each round, Thompson sampling selects a previously unexposed slate; feedback updates each user's posterior independently.

flowchart LR
  I[Public input and current state] --> M[CohortMix-TS mechanism]
  M --> A[Auditable intermediates]
  A --> O[Output or state update]

Key figure from the paper

CohortMix-TS, Figure 3

Figure 3: Original method design and components. From the paper; copyright remains with the authors.

Core equation

\(\hat\mu_{c,a}=(\alpha_0+s_{c,a})/(\alpha_0+\beta_0+s_{c,a}+f_{c,a})\). The new user's prior uses fixed-strength Beta pseudo-counts weighted by cohort membership.

Paper results

In the 25-day randomized deployment, the between-group difference in early-to-late correctness change was 6.23 percentage points in the restricted full-window subgroup, with 95% bootstrap interval [0.5, 11.9] and p=0.043. Engagement among all registered users did not differ significantly.

Local reproduction

Local comparison: The baseline disables the mechanism or uses the default state, and the treatment enables the core operator. This checks invariants and state transitions only; cross-model relative changes are not applicable.

See the three-seed diagnostic. diagnostic_only=true indicates executable state transitions, gradients, or scheduling invariants only, not eligibility for capability ranking.

Reproduction boundaries

Fixed-strength mixture priors, Thompson slates, and posterior updates are implemented. Historical matrix factorization and the 25-day deployment were not reproduced.